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NFL 2022 Week Five Post-Thursday Night Picks

October 9th, 2022

NY Giants (+8) vs. Green Bay at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
The Packers are probably better than the Giants. Or at least if seems like the Packers ought to be better than the Giants. Two scores better? I don’t know. In Wisconsin, possibly. In New Jersey, probably not. In the United Kingdom, I’m gonna hedge a bit. Green Bay by seven.

Pittsburgh (+14) at Buffalo
I’m not sure which is likely to be the bigger problem for Pittsburgh here, not having an offense, or not having a defense. Buffalo by 20.

LA Chargers (-1) at Cleveland
Where I come from, in a game this evenly matched you take the home team. So there you go. Cleveland by a field goal.

Chicago (+7.5) at Minnesota
I haven’t seen anything that’s led me to believe the Vikings can succeed against a good team on any field this season. Minnesota by 10.

Detroit (+3) at New England
If you go by wins and losses, these two teams appear to be pretty evenly matched. If you go by just about anything else, however, you can see that they are not. Patriots by two turnovers and one touchdown.

Seattle (+5) at New Orleans
I should just take the home team to win a close one here. But, eh, I don’t know. I suspect the Seahawks offense will be able to keep the ball moving and put the Saints in a spot that’s just too tough for them to get out of. Seattle by a point.

Miami (-3.5) at NY Jets
The New Jersey defense is bad enough that it doesn’t matter who a half decent opponent has starting behind center. Dolphins by six.

Atlanta (+10) at Tampa Bay
How odd to have a game in which a divisional lead is on the line played between to so unevenly matched teams. Buccaneers by 14.

Tennessee (pick ’em) at Washington
Washington probably shouldn’t be this bad. And Tennessee probably shouldn’t be this not bad. But these teams are what they are. Titans by a field goal.

Houston (+7) at Jacksonville
These teams are going in opposite directions. This season. And you’ve got to figure in this game. Jaguars by nine.

San Francisco (-6.5) at Carolina
Cross-country travel keeps this one competitive through halftime. After that, it’s all Niners. San Francisco by a touchdown (yes, with the extra point).

Dallas (+5.5) at LA Rams
It’s hard to believe in the Cowboys. But, man, that Rams defense. Los Angeles by a point.

Philadelphia (-5.5) at Arizona
You can look for a factor that will keep the Cardinals in this game. Travel? Maybe. The Eagles overlooking a weak opponent? That happens. But there’s not much else. And I’m not sure either of those things matters in a matchup this unbalanced. Philadelphia by 10.

Cincinnati (+3.5) at Baltimore
The Bengals D should be able to keep Cincinnati in this game. But I think the Ravens find a way to win it. Baltimore by a point.

Las Vegas (+7) at Kansas City
I just don’t see any path to victory for the visitors here. Kansas City by 13.

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