Week Ten Thursday Night Pick
OK, there’s no way I’m gonna be able to wrap up all of my week ten picks before tonight’s game kicks off, so here, for the nonce, is what you can almost certainly expect not to see if you tune in to the NFL Network this evening.
Baltimore (+1.5) at Atlanta
This looks to me like a great way to start off the schedule of regular Thursday night football games. Why do I say that? Because at least on paper, the damned thing is so evenly matched that it’s all but impossible to pick. You’d think that would make for an exciting matchup on the field. I’m gonna guess that the Falcons come out ahead. Atlanta’s at home, where they’re 17-1 (with 13 straight wins) with Matt Ryan starting under center. The Falcons also bring in a +7 takeaway/giveaway differential. That’s fourth best in the league. And while the Ravens’ +1 is respectable, there’s no confusing respectable for impressive. Yeah, neither of those factors is decisive, but with this matchup, they’re about what we’ve got. So I’m taking Atlanta straight up, though I’ll look for Baltimore to keep the difference to a single point.